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Good Strategy – Bad Analysis

I was very impressed at how quickly the Florida students were organized to campaign for gun control. I believed I had written my final statement on the matter when I posted – JUST ANOTHER GUN BATTLE – after the Las Vegas tragedy. But when I saw these kids being used by the anti-gun lobby, I saw red! How could anyone use minors who have just survived a frightening situation and who are mourning the loss of friends and teachers to further political goals that will not even solve the problem!?!

There are MILLIONS of guns circulating in society and being passed down in families. There are millions more available on the black market. If the gun laws were changed tomorrow, it would not affect anything. It would not make one school safer. It would not make it impossible for any criminal to get a gun. So what is the point?

I heard a student say that it was not a political issue, not a Republican or a Democratic issue. He said it was a life or death issue. That same student said that if in the coming elections you are taking money from the NRA then there is a badge of shame on you. So the evidence that these kids are being emotionally manipulated is fairly obvious, any thoughtful logical person would immediately spot the contradiction in his speech.

I don’t even like the thought of Congress legislating on emotion instead of logic. I want solutions and results. I want no infringement on the Constitution or our liberty, but I want safe schools and I want the most direct path to that objective. If my only objective is the safety of our children and the immediate insurance that what happened in Florida has little to no chance of happening again then I will find a way to harden the schools so that they are not a target:

  • Frequent irregular patrols by local police
  • Armed security on campus – it could be retired military or law enforcement, perhaps an arrangement with the national guard, off duty police or whatever works.
  • A security assessment should be done for each school. For many small schools this would be simple, but exits ought to be controlled and doors should be kept locked. Everyone must know what to do in an emergency. Every backpack should have a simple bullet proof insert that anyone can readily purchase on line. Etc.,etc.,etc.,…
  • In addition to security, The announcement should be made that qualified teachers will be carrying concealed on campus in every school. No one will know which teachers are carrying. Schools will no longer be gun free zones, however, anyone bringing a gun onto school property will face mandatory imprisonment time with no parole.
  • Medical HIPPA privacy regulations should be altered enough to allow any threats to schools or churches to be reported to the authorities.
  • The minimum age to purchase or own a gun should be 21.

There is no further restriction on gun purchasing or “tightening up of the gun laws” that could have prevented the massacre that took place in Parkland, Florida. The FBI was given two tips that they refused to follow up on. This, more than anything else lies at the heart of what went wrong.

One last thing – as long as our society is being attacked from within, it is going to be very difficult to overcome these societal ills. The toxic breakdown of the family leaves its mark on the next generation of children. Bringing in huge numbers of uneducated foreigners who do not speak English and do not even want to assimilate but instead live in isolated enclaves or segregated communities. The last decade of horribly high unemployment and the evils of government dependence have sickened society. The weaponization of the IRS, the FBI, the EPA, the DOJ, etc. as political arms rather than the people’s government has caused a tremendous loss of faith in the government. The lack of trust grows as more corruption is uncovered. Meanwhile, an entire decade of identity politics has emphasized everything but being an American! For many of those who commit violent acts, family is not a safe refuge or a warm and loving environment where traditional “American” values are taught.

This entire rambling post is merely pointing out that we cannot act on our emotions if we hope to solve the problem. We must turn to experts for input and we must use common sense. We must become a more moral people and a more ethical nation. We must once again become God’s people and His house should reclaim its place as the heart of the community. My sympathies go out to these motivated teens who have decided to organize a national campaign to “beg for their lives”. My heart breaks because they had to go through the trauma that brought them to this. But, if they were as non-political and as clever as they think, they would have never turned away such a large portion of the American people by immediately blaming the NRA for the shooting in their school.

Put away the passion and put your thinking caps on!

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/02/florida-school-shooting-survivors-will-lead-nationwide-march.html

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Russian Collusion and Us

Let’s just work from the premise that we were given at the beginning. The Russia investigation was a counter-intelligence operation since collusion is not a crime and since there was no evidence of any such thing at that time. However, the argument went (and still does), that we must get to the bottom of Russian involvement in our election because it threatens the very foundation of American democracy. I am sick and tired of the liberal media and the establishment never-Trump Republicans still standing behind this and regurgitating these old, overused and nonsensical talking points.

Our law enforcement agencies operate differently from those that have been set up in police states. I do not believe most people understand the enormous fundamental constraints that even our intelligence agencies in the U.S. have when dealing with constitutionally protected citizens. American law enforcement in all of its manifestations, has never been allowed to take a complaint about a person (that they are bad or crazy or mean in generality) and then go search for a crime. If that were done, we would be a police state. To quote a former secret service agent whose podcasts I frequently enjoy,”The FBI can indict a ham sandwich if they want to.” Mr. Bongino is absolutely correct. Make no mistake, if an intelligence or police agency is armed with detailed information on your every move for the last five years and then you sit down while their trained interviewers/interrogators rapid fire questions on every date and everything you did (even things that held little or no importance for you and thus are totally forgotten), it is almost impossible NOT to have inconsistencies  or alterations and therefor a charge of “lying to law enforcement”. This is why the Special Prosecutor, the FBI, police, Intelligence agencies, all of law enforcement prosecute crimes but they do not prosecute people! Why are we making an exception in the way the FBI is looking for a crime committed by President Trump? Are we comfortable with police state policies?

Furthermore, at a time when our deficit is larger than ever. Our debt is greater than we can wrap our brains around. This is an astronomical problem of criminal proportions. We have a Special Prosecutor who is off the rails. His budget is eating up money without producing the results that the mission goals stated. Lying to the FBI is not remotely proof of any sort of guilt of the non-statutory un-crime of collusion. Every unveiling has revealed wrongdoing by the Democratic Party, not the Trump campaign. Digging into the past just digs up the crimes of the Obama Administration in association with the Clinton campaign. And we just keep throwing good money at Mueller to search for some Russian connection with our president! Is anyone looking at China? Could we please take that money and redistribute it to counter those countries that are successfully making inroads into our entertainment industry, economy and manufacturing….not to mention intellectual property Etc!!

If the Democrats were truthfully as concerned with Russian meddling in our elections as they say they are, they would be taking action instead of trying to dig up something on President Trump. Why are we not doing more to protect the election systems in the states. Obama tried to take control by placing control of elections in the hands of the Federal Government which would put each state at higher risk. We should be actively working to limit ALL INTERFERENCE in our elections and both law enforcement and Congress could be making better use of time! There is more, much more that could be done. There is much more that could be done if the Democrats were not spending all of their time strategizing and plotting how to take down the legally elected president while taking and keeping power. Many more problems could be solved if establishment Republicans were not constantly voting with the highest paying lobbyist and never willing or able to stand up and fight for the people.

Bob Mueller is spending money we do not have and after almost two years with no evidence of Russian collusion, we need to move on and stop wasting money. There are other crimes that do have evidence that are just sitting out there while the respective statutes of limitation slowly run out.

President Trump

I do support the fine job that President Trump is doing and I feel absolutely no need to defend him. As far as I am concerned, he has done nothing out of the ordinary and has only the best interests of the United States in his sights. No other president has ever been subjected to such close scrutiny by the media. Every private conversation is invaded and reported. Every good and noble deed is buried and ignored. No privacy, many betrayals and outright lies about his motives and thoughts. ( We have thought police now?)

It is an incredible sight to see how organizations like CNN subtly utilize the English language to manipulate feelings. Adjectives are used in places where news stories do not usually have adjectives. Panels of talking heads are not divided between Democrats and Republicans…they are all Democrats discussing with backgrounds in various branches of liberal extremism. I watched for almost an hour (it was as much as I could take) and I did not hear one single conservative idea or common sense point of view. If it wasn’t so real it would have reminded me of a bad Saturday Night Live episode from the seventies.

Former President Obama used his eight years in office to create a race problem in America. Since the sixties progress might not have been as rapid as some would want, but morality cannot be legislated, it just does not work! From slow and steady forward progress we began to regress. Now there is rampant racism against blacks and whites. Those of us who helped lead the way to honest social acceptance, who ostracized the people who told racial jokes, who raised our kids to accept everyone as a child of God are now faced with inexplicable hostility from blacks.

So….

I am not angry with my president, I am angry with Dick Durbin for having such a big mouth and reporting a private conversation to the media. I am disgusted with a senator who spoke into the microphone with absolutely no concern for how his words would affect our relationships with other nations. Dick Durbin is a prime example of a liberal who obviously places political party affiliation ahead of loyalty to his country.

Meanwhile, from the shady underhanded negotiations and shenanigans leading up to and the hidden side agreements included in the deal itself, not to mention the illegal way that the former president got it approved (or not) all the way to the four men callously left to die in Benghazi along with the entire embassy. Has anyone forgotten the famous phrase,”If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor.”? Or we could remember monumentally embarrassing Obama actions, who else would return Churchill’s bust to the English? (Rude, crude and socially unacceptable)

So…

Why is the media trying to make Donald J. Trump into such a train wreck. By every measure of honesty, the train wreck is not President Trump regardless of how hard the media works to make it so. And it is so very obvious that they are working overtime to create that image as hard as they can. As President Trump keeps the economy on track and keeps Congress scrambling in the right direction, there is little doubt that the media will just become more hateful and childish. Be prepared.

Just one more random point: the Statue of Liberty was given to us by France. The poem about immigrants which was inscribed at the base was added later and was never meant to be a promise or a policy statement. The poetry is a tribute to America’s melting pot, it is not a mandate or requirement to open our borders!

Post Script on the Senate Race

Alabama has some pretty convoluted election laws. There is no real need to get into the nuts and bolts, but it makes me angry when these ignorant know-it-alls on talk shows claim an accusation equals an assumption of guilt. Almost every single talking head calls for Roy Moore to step aside. If he did, a liberal, anti-Second Amendment, pro-abortion, anti-tax cuts, pro-Obamacare, Democratic Party Line Voter will be guaranteed the seat with no competition. Write-in votes have very little chance of ever even being counted. When these accusations were made it was too late to withdraw Moore from the ballot and no substitutions could be made.

So, Alabamians are left with a true ethical quandary. Fortunately, we have more information on the facts and the accusers than is reported on the national media. Also, we have finally begun to see more conservative ads challenging Doug Jones on what he claims are his mainstream views and policies but which do not conform to mainstream Alabama views and opinions at all! 

December 12 Alabama voters will decide what to do, not America and not the media and not Washington.

It is a conundrum.
AL.com

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/11/how_to_cast_a_write-in_vote_in.html
“The Alabama Legislature passed a law in 2016 so that write-in votes are not counted on election day. The law stipulates that write-in votes for a particular contest are not counted unless the total number of write-in votes is greater than the difference in the number of votes received by the first place and second place candidates. If that takes place, write-in votes are counted on the seventh day after the election. If the number of write-ins doesn’t meet that threshold, they are not counted.”
I know people were wondering why every democrat and every media outlet was so helpfully recommending that some trusted Republican be put forward for a write-in campaign, they never mentioned this though!

Muddying the Waters……ANOTHER REPOST!

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2017/11/stepson-roy-moore-accuser-says-shes-lying-stand-behind-judge-100-video/
I won’t be at home much longer canvassing the news, but this is out and available to everyone. I am very disappointed to see, however, that FOX has refused to pick it up.

Mo Brooks Words of Advice

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/11/mo_brooks_sticking_by_moore_go.html#incart_river_home

Mo Brooks sticking by Moore: GOP agenda ‘vastly more important than contested sexual allegations’

Updated 8:24 PM; Posted 7:31 PM

By Howard Koplowitz 
hkoplowitz@al.com

“America faces huge challenges that are vastly more important than contested sexual allegations from four decades ago,” Brooks said in a text message to AL.com. “Who will vote in America’s best interests on Supreme Court justices, deficit and debt, economic growth, border security, national defense, and the like? Socialist Democrat Doug Jones will vote wrong. Roy Moore will vote right. Hence, I will vote for Roy Moore.”

Moore has been accused by two women of initiating sexual encounters with them when they were 14 and 16 years old and Moore was in his 30s as an assistant district attorney in Etowah County. Moore has denied the allegations, saying the claims are politically motivated.

While Brooks said he would vote for Moore, he declined to say whether he still endorses the embattled Republican candidate. He also would not say whether he believes Moore or the women making the allegations, although he pointed to the Duke University lacrosse case as an example of sex claims that have been proven wrong.
“As a Duke grad, I vividly remember the false accusations against and defamation of the Duke lacrosse team. The players were horribly treated by the news media until the truth finally came out and totally exonerated them,” he said. “As an attorney, I know accusations are easy. Proving them to the satisfaction of a judge, a jury, or here, voters, is another thing. I do not know enough of the evidence to know with confidence what the true facts are.”
Although Moore’s first public accuser, Leigh Corfman, is a Republican who voted for Donald Trump in 2016, Brooks suggested there is plenty of political motivation to make false claims.

“I do believe this, there are millions of people in America who would lie in a heartbeat if it meant adding another Democrat to the Senate,” he said.
The Huntsville congressman earlier told Roll Call that he would be voting for Moore because of policy issues.
“I have seen what a lot of people have said. A United States senator from Alabama is going to have a huge effect on national public policy issues and the votes that will be cast on the Senate floor will determine the future of our country. That is my primary concern,” he said.(emphasis mine-Cat)

Brooks, who was a candidate for the Senate seat in the Republican primary, was ambiguous about whether he would mount a write-in campaign for the Dec. 12 special election. Brooks went on to endorse Moore.
“As long as Roy Moore is our nominee, a Republican cannot wage a write-in campaign, under Alabama Republican Party rules, and be on the ballot as a Republican in the future,” he said.
Meanwhile, conservative pundit Ann Coulter, who endorsed Brooks in the primary, advocated on Twitter for Moore to be replaced on the ballot with Brooks:
Brooks declined to say whether he would be open to that idea.
The more I read the more I question, but I refuse to convict anyone absent more proof and a chance for Moore to defend himself. Furthermore, I agree with the candidate I voted for in the first place. Moore is better than a socialist democrat and it IS a very short term.

REPOST: Who Is At Fault?

Quin Hillyer: Mitch McConnell helped create this mess in Alabama
WRITTEN BY QUIN HILLYER ON NOVEMBER 10, 2017 AT 1:49 PM CST

YELLOWHAMMER NEWS :  http://yellowhammernews.com/featured/mitch-mcconnell-helped-create-mess/

If ever there is legitimacy to playing a “blame game,” it exists right now with regard to the mess Alabama Republicans face in a special U.S. Senate election that should not be occurring in the first place.In order of approximate chronology rather than of seriousness, here are all the places the blame lies – with the obvious caveat that by far the largest part of the blame lies with Roy Moore, if the allegations against him are even close to being true.
1) Luther Strange. I am reliably informed that numerous people, wise and experienced, advised Strange not to allow his name even to be considered for appointment to the Senate under the unique circumstances then existing. If he wanted to be the senator, he should have run under his own power, not as the selection of the very governor Strange was supposed to be investigating on criminal charges. The appearance of a conflict of interest was too obvious and too appalling.
2) Robert Bentley. Of course the governor should not have done any of the things that compromised himself in the first place – but, having done so, he should never, ever have considered Strange for the appointment. See above.
3) Mitch McConnell and his minions/Political Action Committees (henceforth: MMMPACs). MMMPACs, having failed to learn the lessons of earlier interferences in state elections (for example, opposing Marco Rubio in Florida, Ben Sasse in Nebraska, and others who proved to be excellent senators), decided to waste some $9 million on behalf of the un-re-electable Strange. Even worse, MMMPACs tried to act as bully-boys, threatening candidates and campaign consultants that if they opposed Strange, they would never work in/have no future in Republican politics ever again. Potentially strong candidates – ones who could have defeated both Strange and Moore – were thus bullied out of the race.
4) Governor Kay Ivey. She was wrong, both practically and I believe legally, to call for the special election this year. Practically, a cash-strapped state should not be spending $15 million to run an election when there would really have been no harm in waiting until a regular election in 2018. Also practically, the unique circumstances of the Bentley scandal meant that the political waters were too roiled to allow the public a “normal” and thoughtful consideration of the potential candidates, with too little time for some potentially good candidates to get organized enough to make the race. Finally, while nobody challenged her in court, I am convinced that once Bentley had called the election for 2018, nothing in state law allows a governor the power to unilaterally change a duly called election date. In short, this election should not have been held until November of 2018.
5) Mo Brooks. This is the least of these blame points but it warrants inclusion on this list. The conservative with the best chance of sneaking past Strange into the runoff with Moore chose an ill-conceived tactic that blew up in his face, by airing a TV ad with video of Brooks being interviewed at the scene of the shooting of Majority Whip Steve Scalise. Scalise’s staffers themselves were outraged, and were quoted complaining that Brooks appeared to be trying to profit politically from the assassination attempt.
6) Strange and MMMPACs. Together, they ran one of the most despicable campaigns I have witnessed in more than four decades involved in or covering politics. They poisoned the well with harshly negative, even vicious, and at least somewhat untrue attacks against both Moore and Brooks. (The worst was the one insinuating that Brooks somehow was weak against ISIS!) And when they weren’t wrongly attacking their opponents, they were running ads for Strange that were so trite they insultingly played into national stereotypes about supposedly simple-minded Alabamans. So obnoxious were their tactics that, if basing the judgment on the campaign alone, neither Strange nor McConnell should ever hold office again.
7) Donald Trump. He, too, should have stayed away from a state’s party primary. By jumping in before the first primary, he helped (at least at the margins) Strange ward off the challenge from Brooks. Well, if the national pooh-bahs wanted “anybody but Moore,” the only way by then to stop Moore was for Brooks to edge past Strange into the runoff. As I said the very day qualifying for the race closed, Strange had no chance on God’s green Earth to defeat Moore in a runoff if those were the two candidates who emerged.

It is time for a hard and fast new rule: National party committees and so-called “Leadership PACs,” and their affiliates, should avoid all direct financial involvement in party primaries. Sure, they can and ought to try to recruit good candidates, but their recruiting pitch should be this: “We can help line you up with good strategists and workers and policy briefings, and we will commit to raising X amount of money for you if you emerge as the nominee. But aside from that, winning the nomination is up to you; we are holding our money and our clout for use against Democrats in the general election, not to trash fellow Republicans in a primary.”

Mitch McConnell, Luther Strange and company utterly screwed up this whole election. They should hang their heads in shame.

Yellowhammer Contributing Editor Quin Hillyer, of Mobile, also is a Contributing Editor for National Review Online, and is the author of Mad Jones, Heretic, a satirical literary novel published in the fall of 2017.

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